Match Info

Date: 13 July 2021, Tuesday


	Riga		Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8	4.75	1.36
	7.5	4.5	1.33	Watch
	7.2	4.7	1.36
	8.05	4.84	1.39
	7.5	4.4	1.35	Watch
	7.9	4.8	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.69 ↑ (7.3)	4.67 ↑ (4.5)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
12%

Draw
19.8%

Malmö
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

20.5%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

17.6%

77.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.9%	8.3%	77.8%

Riga - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Malmö will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 64.2% – 91.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Riga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Malmö have a series of home games.

In this match Malmö is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Riga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
UEFA Champions League
07.07.21	Malmö - Riga	1:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
01.07.21	Liepāja - Riga	1:0 ✺
21.06.21	Riga - Valmiera	1:0 ✺
17.06.21	Rīgas FS - Riga	3:1 ✺
13.06.21	Riga - Noah Jūrmala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.07.21	Malmö - Sirius	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.07.21	Malmö - Riga	1:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.07.21	Norrköping - Malmö	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.21	Malmö - Midtjylland	1:2 ✺
19.06.21	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
07.07.21	Malmö - Riga	1:0

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