Match Info

LATVIA: Virsliga - Round 30

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	TV4
World	Onefootball app


	Riga		Valmiera

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	4.6
	1.55	4.33	5
	1.54	4.25	5.12
	1.56	4.26	5.28	Watch
	1.5	4.2	4.8
	1.53	4.15	4.94	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)	4.23 ↑ (3.7)	4.96 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
59.8%

Draw
21.7%

Valmiera
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.9%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Valmiera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Riga - Valmiera Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Valmiera will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Purins N. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 3. Ngom M. 35. Erquiaga I. 40. Ankrah A. 14. Babec H. 17. Gueye P. B. 8. Jojic M. 11. Pena B. 18. Regza M.	12. Oss D. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 36. Kragliks R. 4. Veips R. 27. Birka E. 10. Vapne L. 34. Korobenko A. 14. Varslavans R. (C) 8. Kawasaki S. 29. Bahamboula J. 24. Ndoye A.
Substitutes
23. Daskevics E. 2. Ibrahim H. 33. Iljins K. 77. Mankenda G. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 6. Mickevics T. 20. Muscia G. 4. Semesko M. 12. Zommers K. (G)	22. Diop M. 17. Duke C. 18. Dusalijevs N. 19. Gueye D. 7. Gustavo 30. Lucas Aruba 1. Olses C. (G) 21. Penkevics K. 77. Porsan-Clemente J.
Coaches
Valakari S.	Kalnins G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Pena B. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Erquiaga I. ⚽, Gueye P. B. (A),
30', Kragliks R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bahamboula J. ↓, Porsan-Clemente J. ↑,
46', Kawasaki S. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
58', Jojic M. ↓, Muscia G. ↑,
59', Birka E. 🟨,
69', Varslavans R. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
74', Vapne L. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
75', Gueye P. B. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
81', Pena B. ↓, Iljins K. ↑,
90', Veips R. ↓, Penkevics K. ↑,
90+1', Penkevics K. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Riga won 1.

Riga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Valmiera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Valmiera have a series of home games.

In this match Riga is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Riga to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Riga won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Riga won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
14.09.24	Auda Riga - Riga	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Riga - Grobiņa	6:1 ✺
25.08.24	Riga - RFS	0:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
18.08.24	Leevon PPK - Riga	0:4 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
10.08.24	Metta - Riga	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWTWW
- Valmiera FK
Latvian Virsliga
13.09.24	Valmiera - RFS	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Valmiera - Metta	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Tukums 2000 - Valmiera	3:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
17.08.24	Valmiera - RFS	3:4 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
11.08.24	Valmiera - BFC Daugavpils	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
02.07.24	Valmiera - Riga	2:2
10.05.24	Riga - Valmiera	1:1
31.03.24	Valmiera - Riga	2:1
11.11.23	Valmiera - Riga	1:1
26.08.23	Riga - Valmiera	3:0
09.06.23	Valmiera - Riga	1:0
30.04.23	Riga - Valmiera	3:0

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