Match Info

Date: 28 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Referee: Sabotic J. (Lux)


	Riga		Ružomberok

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.1	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.25
	2.28	3.1	3.15
	2.3	3.23	3.19
				Watch
	2.15	3.24	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.89)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	3.17 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
41%

Draw
29.9%

Ružomberok
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riga's form might have worsened.

Ružomberok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ružomberok's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ružomberok than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ružomberok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	17.6%	17.6%

Riga - Ružomberok Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Ružomberok will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.

Riga is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ružomberok is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Riga have a series of home games.

Riga will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Riga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
24.07.22	Riga - Spartaks	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Ružomberok - Riga	0:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
17.07.22	Riga - Super Nova	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.07.22	Riga - Derry City	2:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
10.07.22	Riga - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL
- MFK Ružomberok
Slovak Superliga
24.07.22	Ružomberok - Podbrezová	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Ružomberok - Riga	0:3 ✺
Slovak Superliga
17.07.22	Skalica - Ružomberok	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.07.22	Kauno Žalgiris - Ružomberok	0:0 ✺
07.07.22	Ružomberok - Kauno Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Ružomberok - Riga	0:3

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