Match Info

Date: 14 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Referee: Machalek J. (Cze)


	Riga		Derry City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.75
	1.73	3.3	4.9
	1.75	3.4	4.5
	1.74	3.32	5.16
				Watch
	1.68	3.6	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	4.77 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
53.6%

Draw
26.9%

Derry City
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

28%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

28.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.9%	22%	12.2%

Riga - Derry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 27 - 65.9%). Derry will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 22%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 51.4% – 80.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Recent matches Riga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Derry is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Derry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Riga is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Riga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Cup
10.07.22	Riga - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Derry City - Riga	0:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
01.07.22	Liepāja - Riga	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Riga - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
22.06.22	Riga - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTLW
- Derry City
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Derry City - Riga	0:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
01.07.22	Bohemians Dublin - Derry City	2:3 ✺
24.06.22	University College Dublin - Derry City	0:1 ✺
17.06.22	Derry City - Drogheda United	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.06.22	Cliftonville - Derry City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Derry City - Riga	0:2

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