Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 3

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Valmiera		Smiltene

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.5	8.5
	1.25	5.53	8.84	Watch
	1.2	5.5	10
	1.28	5.45	8.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.36)	5.5 ↑ (4.8)	9.04 ↑ (6.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera
73.4%

Draw
16.6%

Smiltene
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

18.8%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valmiera's performance.

Smiltene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Valmiera - Smiltene Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Valmiera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Lopes G. ⚽, Kayramani F. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Yamamura T. ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, Dembele M. ⚽, Stepanovs V. (A),
77', 4 - 0, Kayramani F. ⚽, Erglis M. (A),

Preview

Smiltene may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Valmiera is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valmiera	21	16	3	2	60:23	37	51
11	FK Smiltene	21	4	4	13	29:57	-28	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK
Latvian 1 Liga
29.03.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Valmiera	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Harju JK Laagri - Valmiera	2:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
22.06.25	Riga Mariners - Valmiera	4:3 ET ✺
31.05.25	Valmiera - Ogre United	4:3 ✺
16.05.25	Valmiera - FK Cēsis	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLWW
- FK Smiltene BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
28.03.26	Smiltene - JFK Ventspils	3:3 ✺
22.03.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Smiltene	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Smiltene - Rīgas FS 2	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Smiltene - Rēzekne	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Smiltene - Riga Mariners	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTTL

Valmiera - Smiltene: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide