Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka)

Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Croatia	MAX Sport 1
Israel	5 PLUS Israel


	Rijeka		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.4
	2.32	2.97	3.37	Watch
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.27	3.24	3.42	Watch
	2.25	3.24	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	3.11 ↓ (3.32)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
41.7%

Draw
30.1%

Ludogorets Razgrad
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	36%	12%

Rijeka - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 4 - 50%). Ludogorets (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Ludogorets (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75, 1st Half - Rijeka (9.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Rijeka (10.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2, 2nd Half - Rijeka (28.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2, 1st Half - Rijeka (43.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -3 - Rijeka (29.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Rijeka (6.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Ludogorets (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zlomislic M. (C) 22. Orec A. 45. Majstorovic A. 6. Radeljic S. 34. Devetak M. 26. Dantas T. 4. Jankovic N. 8. Petrovic D. 20. Ndockyt M. 10. Fruk T. 17. Menalo L.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 24. Verdon O. 15. Kurtulus E. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 11. Caio Vidal 6. Piotrowski J. 26. Kaloc F. 77. Erick Marcus 37. Tekpetey B. 29. Bile E.
Substitutes
27. Butic S. 9. Cop D. 14. Gojak A. 51. Husic A. 77. Juric A. 2. Kitin L. 23. Lasickas J. 15. Manev J. 11. Rukavina G. 25. Thaqi D. 99. Todorovic A. (G) 64. Yankov D.	2. Andersson J. 18. Chochev I. 8. Chouiar M. 23. Duarte D. 73. Gigov F. 67. Hristov D. (G) 99. Ivanov S. 1. Padt S. (G) 30. Pedro Naressi 42. Shishkov S. 14. Stanic P. 80. Stefanov M.
Coaches
Djalovic R.	Mota R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Verdon O. 🟨,
36', Bile E. 🟨,
36', Djalovic R. 🟨,
38', Orec A. 🟨,
42', Devetak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bile E. ↓, Chouiar M. ↑,
52', Kaloc F. 🟨,
57', Tekpetey B. 🟨,
63', Menalo L. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
63', Dantas T. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
67', Tekpetey B. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
67', Kaloc F. ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
73', Ndockyt M. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
73', Duarte D. 🟨,
79', Piotrowski J. ↓, Pedro Naressi ↑,
86', Erick Marcus ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
90', Son 🟨,
90+3', Orec A. ↓, Butic S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Ludogorets is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rijeka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ludogorets has had a series of home games.

Rijeka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rijeka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Rijeka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Rijeka - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Rijeka - NK Bravo	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
29.05.25	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	1:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
25.05.25	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.07.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Septemvri Sofia	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.25	Dinamo Minsk - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:2 ET ✺
09.07.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Minsk	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Hradec Králové	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.01.15	Rijeka - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2

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