Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Rijeka		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.45
	7	4.6	1.45
	7.1	4.7	1.45
	7	4.4	1.43
	7.4	4.75	1.44
	7.5	4.5	1.42
	7.8	4.95	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.26 ↑ (4.61)	4.63 ↑ (4.08)	1.44 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
13.1%

Draw
20.6%

Real Sociedad
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

23.2%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

14%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rijeka's form might have worsened.

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rijeka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-32.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.4%	6.1%	85.5%

Rijeka - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (112 of 131 users predict this - 85.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.47% – 91.53%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Rijeka has a very small chance of round of 32 (2%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Real Sociedad has a good chance of round of 32 (87%), has a good chance of round of 16 (58%), has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (11%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Rijeka in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Real Sociedad is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rijeka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Sociedad is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
17.10.20	Rijeka - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
07.10.20	Dilj - Rijeka	0:6 ✺
Croatian HNL
04.10.20	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Copenhagen - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
24.09.20	Rijeka - Kolos Kovalivka	2:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWW
- Real Sociedad
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.10.20	Real Sociedad - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.20	Betis - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
14.10.20	Vida - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Motagua - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
07.10.20	Real Sociedad - Lobos UPNFM	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLL

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