Match Info

Date: 24 September 2020, Thursday


	Rijeka		Kolos Kovalivka

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.4
	2.15	3.35	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.13	3.47	3.47
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.13	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.81)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)	3.42 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
43.9%

Draw
28.7%

Kolos Kovalivka
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

17.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rijeka's form might have worsened.

Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kolos Kovalivka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rijeka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kolos Kovalivka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	8.1%	22.6%

Rijeka - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 43 - 69.4%). Kolos will win (votes: 14 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 57.9% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Recent matches Rijeka is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kolos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rijeka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rijeka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
12.09.20	Osijek - Rijeka	3:0 ✺
29.08.20	Rijeka - Istra 1961	2:1 ✺
21.08.20	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
15.08.20	Rijeka - Šibenik	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
01.08.20	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW
- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
20.09.20	Rukh Lviv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Aris - Kolos Kovalivka	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
12.09.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Lviv	4:0 ✺
21.08.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	3:1 ✺
29.07.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Mariupol	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWLW

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