Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Romeo Neri (Rimini)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Rimini		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.55	3.05	2.8
	2.42	3.15	2.78
	2.52	3.12	2.87	Watch
	2.54	3	2.88
	2.55	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.46)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rimini
36.8%

Draw
30.4%

Vis Pesaro
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rimini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Rimini - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rimini will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Rimini (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Rimini (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rimini (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Colombi S. (G) 4. Bellodi G. 30. De Vitis A. 3. Falbo L. 11. Gagliano L. 80. Garetto M. 33. Langella C. 25. Lombardi A. 28. Longobardi G. 23. Megelaitis L. 97. Parigi G.	22. Vukovic A. (G) 4. Bove D. 34. Cannavo K. 15. Ceccacci M. 26. Coppola F. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 9. Nicastro F. 90. Okoro A. 17. Paganini L. 7. Pucciarelli M. 3. Zoia R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
18', Lombardi A. 🟨,
24', Okoro A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Paganini L. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Di Paola M. ⚽,
36', 0 - 3, Okoro A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 3, Langella C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gagliano L. ↓, Malagrida L. ↑,
46', Lombardi A. ↓, Cinquegrano S. ↑,
46', De Vitis A. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
54', Malagrida L. 🟨,
57', 2 - 3, Cinquegrano S. ⚽,
59', Pucciarelli M. 🟨,
61', Cioffi A. 🟨,
63', Parigi G. 🟨,
66', Garetto M. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
66', Zoia R. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
70', Paganini L. 🟨,
80', Langella C. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
83', Cannavo K. ↓, Tavernaro F. ↑,
84', Di Paola M. ↓, Raychev A. ↑,
87', 2 - 4, Tavernaro F. ⚽,
89', Okoro A. ↓, Tonucci D. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 4, Parigi G. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rimini won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vis Pesaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rimini won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rimini won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Vis Pesaro - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rimini FC
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.25	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Rimini - Pineto	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Pontedera - Rimini	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Rimini - Campobasso	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.04.25	Rimini - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLTT
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.25	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	1:1 ✺
07.05.25	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Milan Futuro - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Vis Pesaro - SPAL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.25	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
05.04.25	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	1:2
22.11.24	Rimini - Vis Pesaro	0:1
07.04.24	Rimini - Vis Pesaro	1:0
03.12.23	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	1:1
12.02.23	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	0:0
16.10.22	Rimini - Vis Pesaro	5:0

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