Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 29

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Vis Pesaro		Pontedera

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.95	Watch
	2.03	3.25	4.4
	1.83	3.32	4.16	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.75
	1.98	3.23	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.74)	3.19 ↓ (3.45)	4.04 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
48%

Draw
29.1%

Pontedera
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

23%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Vis Pesaro - Pontedera Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pontedera (2.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontedera (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pozzi A. (G) 15. Ceccacci M. 13. Primasso A. 6. Di Renzo G. 3. Zoia R. 7. Pucciarelli M. 10. Di Paola M. 72. Franchetti Rosada L. 28. Machin J. 77. Durmush M. 9. Nicastro F.	22. Biagini V. (G) 2. Giacomelli R. 13. Sapola M. 94. Piana L. 23. Cerretti C. 10. Kabashi E. 14. Manfredonia M. 17. Vitali P. 45. Yeboah P. 28. Raychev A. 25. Nabian H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Di Paola M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Piana L. ↓, Fancelli A. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Yeboah P. ⚽,
53', Zoia R. 🟨,
56', Nicastro F. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
56', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
56', Franchetti Rosada L. ↓, Giovannini R. ↑,
63', Kabashi E. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Machin J. ⚽,
65', Vitali P. ↓, Emmanuello S. ↑,
69', Manfredonia M. ↓, Caponi A. ↑,
69', Raychev A. ↓, Mbambi J. ↑,
69', Nabian H. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
73', Di Renzo G. ↓, Lari N. ↑,
83', Durmush M. 🟨,
83', Durmush M. ↓, Ventre A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 3.

Recent performances by Vis Pesaro have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pontedera is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pontedera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vis Pesaro is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
21.02.26	Sassari Torres - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Vis Pesaro - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Vis Pesaro - Forlì	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Pianese - Vis Pesaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLTW
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
22.02.26	Pontedera - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Pontedera - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Forlì - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Pontedera - Ternana	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Campobasso - Pontedera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.10.25	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
19.01.25	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	0:1
14.09.24	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	2:0
02.03.24	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	0:1
26.10.23	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	0:0
15.02.23	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1

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