Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Mário Monteiro (Cachoeiro de Itapemirim)


	Rio Branco AC ES		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.26	3.05	3.05
	2.33	3.05	3.07
	2.35	2.99	3.06	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.3	3.02	3.01
	2.26	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.6)	3.01 ↓ (3.3)	3.03 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco AC ES
39.8%

Draw
30.2%

Nova Iguaçu
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco AC ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Branco AC ES's performance.

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nova Iguaçu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Iguaçu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Branco AC ES - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rio Branco AC ES (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Xandinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rio Branco AC ES may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rio Branco AC ES might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
21.05.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Água Santa - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
13.05.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Portuguesa - Rio Branco AC ES	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLLW
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Nova Iguaçu - Boavista	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Pouso Alegre - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Maricá - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Nova Iguaçu - Água Santa	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Porto Vitória - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTLT

Rio Branco AC ES - Nova Iguaçu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide