Match Info

Serie D - Round 11

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Mário Monteiro (Cachoeiro de Itapemirim)


	Rio Branco AC ES		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.7	3.1	1.92
	3.92	3.07	2.02
				Watch
	3.65	3.18	1.96
	3.2	3.3	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco AC ES
25.8%

Draw
28.8%

Portuguesa
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

27.3%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.5%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Rio Branco AC ES - Portuguesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Rio Branco AC ES has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portuguesa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Portuguesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Portuguesa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rio Branco AC ES won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
29.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Capixaba SC	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Água Santa	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
25.06.25	Linhares - Rio Branco AC ES	0:4 ✺
18.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.25	Nova Iguaçu - Rio Branco AC ES	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLT
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Portuguesa - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Portuguesa - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Portuguesa - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Portuguesa - Rio Branco AC ES	2:1

Rio Branco AC ES - Portuguesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide