Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Do Manduzao (Pouso Alegre)


	Pouso Alegre		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	4.33	3	1.77
	4.99	3.19	1.78
	4.93	3.21	1.75	Watch
	4.6	3	1.75
	5.21	3.08	1.71
	3.75	3.1	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.75)	3.1 (3.1)	1.79 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
19.6%

Draw
29.4%

Portuguesa
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

29.3%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

27.9%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Dudu ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 1 - 1, Matheus Cadorini ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Eric Botteghin ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Pouso Alegre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Portuguesa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Portuguesa is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pouso Alegre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Pouso Alegre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
23.05.26	Água Santa - Pouso Alegre	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa RJ	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Pouso Alegre - America RJ	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	America RJ - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Portuguesa RJ - Pouso Alegre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTL
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
23.05.26	Portuguesa - America RJ	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Portuguesa - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Madureira - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Portuguesa - Madureira	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Água Santa - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Portuguesa - Pouso Alegre	3:0
14.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa	2:0
24.05.25	Portuguesa - Pouso Alegre	2:1

Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide