Match Info
Serie D - Round 6Date: 10 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare) (Cachoeiro de Itapemirim)
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Rio Branco AC ES |
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Tombense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
2.96 |
3.57 |
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 |
2.12 |
2.88 |
3.72 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
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 |
2.05 |
2.96 |
3.63 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07
(2.07) |
2.9 ↓
(3.2) |
3.61 ↑
(3.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Rio Branco AC ES
43.7% | Draw
31.2% | Tombense
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Rio Branco AC ES - Tombense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Cesar ⚽,
- 17', (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', 0 - 2, Cesar ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 78', 🟥,
- 86', 1 - 2, Victor Braga ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 2, Neto Oliveira ⚽,
Preview
Rio Branco AC ES is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Tombense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Tombense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Rio Branco AC ES could have a small edge in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rio Branco AC ES won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Rio Branco AC ES - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.47%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 03.05.26 | Tombense - Rio Branco AC ES | 0:0 | | Club Friendly | | | 20.12.25 | Tombense - Rio Branco AC ES | 0:0 | | 08.01.25 | Tombense - Rio Branco AC ES | 2:1 |
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