Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 6

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)


	Juventude		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.99	3.3	4.23
	1.89	3.26	3.87	Watch
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	1.9	3.14	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.03)	3.23 ↑ (3.08)	3.95 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
48.3%

Draw
28.5%

Tombense
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Juventude - Tombense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leo Agliardi (G) 4. Clebio 3. Costa K. 11. Davi Goes 6. Henzo 7. Joao Scatolin 2. Junior C. 8. Kaynan 9. Lucca 5. Mateus Schaffer 10. Ray Breno (C)	1. Alan (G) 10. Cassio 3. Donato 8. Dyego 2. Julio Henrique 11. Keliton 9. Luiz Felipe 4. Roger Carvalho 7. Silvano 5. Wanderson 6. Xavier
Substitutes
16. Borges L. 13. Cabelo 21. Joaquim (G) 14. Lima K. 18. Luiz Henrique 17. Paulinho 15. Pedro Rocha (G)	18. Cesar 12. Douglas Marques (G) 17. Felipinho 13. Joao Vitor 15. Joao Vitor 22. Jupi 16. PH 14. Rony Fernandes 19. Rubens 21. Souza J. 20. Vitinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Luiz Felipe ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Ray Breno ⚽,
45+1', Junior C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Julio Henrique ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
46', Cassio ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
63', Clebio ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
63', Kaynan ↓, Lima K. ↑,
71', Silvano ↓, Felipinho ↑,
71', Henzo ↓, Cabelo ↑,
77', 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Costa K. ⚽,
80', Luiz Felipe ↓, Jupi ↑,
88', Joao Vitor 🟥,
90', Davi Goes ↓, Pedro Rocha ↑,
90', Lucca ↓, Borges L. ↑,
90+2', Cabelo 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.

Recent performances by Juventude have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tombense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Juventude has had a series of away games.

Juventude is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tombense - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Cianorte - Juventude	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.26	Juventude - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	São Paulo - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLWLW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Tombense - Rio Branco AC ES	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Tombense - São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Democrata GV - Tombense	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Noroeste - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Volta Redonda - Tombense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.10.23	Tombense - Juventude	1:1
11.06.23	Juventude - Tombense	1:2
Brazilian Serie C
08.08.19	Juventude - Tombense	2:0
08.06.19	Tombense - Juventude	1:0
03.09.16	Tombense - Juventude	3:0
03.07.16	Juventude - Tombense	3:0
19.09.15	Tombense - Juventude	0:0

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