The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tombense 45.7%
Draw 27.5%
São Bernardo 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
28.7%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
27.7%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.
São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Bernardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Bernardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tombense - São Bernardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alan (G) 5. Breno Roma 11. Cesar 3. Donato 2. Joao Vitor 8. Joao Vitor 7. Juanzin 4. Rony Fernandes (C) 9. Rubens 10. Vitinho 6. Xavier
40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 10. Fabricio Daniel 20. Felipe Rodrigues 25. Gonzaga W. 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanches (C) 30. Junior Urso 31. Lucas Fernandes 90. Luizao 19. Neto Costa 22. Pablo Dyego
Substitutes
18. Cassio 13. Diego Leandro 12. Douglas Marques (G) 17. Felipinho 19. Jupi 21. Keliton 23. Pazetti J. (G) 16. PH 14. Roger Carvalho 20. Silvano
23. Arthur Bassi (G) 37. Davi D. 39. Hwaskar 42. Hyoran 16. Joao Ferraz 7. Lucas Rian 77. Marcao Silva
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Junior Urso 🟨,
14', Pablo Dyego 🟨,
26', Breno Roma 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Felipe Rodrigues ↓, Hyoran ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Fabricio Daniel ⚽,
53', Breno Roma 🟨,
54', Fabricio Daniel 🟨,
57', Hyoran 🟨,
58', Helder Maciel 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Rubens (Penalty Awarded),
63', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
63', Pablo Dyego ↓, Davi D. ↑,
68', Cesar ↓, Keliton ↑,
72', Luizao 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Rubens (Penalty Awarded),
75', Luizao ↓, Joao Ferraz ↑,
75', Junior Urso ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
75', Luizao 🟥,
76', Junior Urso 🟨,
81', Joao Vitor ↓, Silvano ↑,
81', Vitinho ↓, Diego Leandro ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Hyoran ⚽,
90+4', Lucas Rian 🟨,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
Brazil
Watch
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Alan (G) 
Juanzin 
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