Match Info

Date: 15 May 2021, Saturday


	Rio Branco PR		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.8	1.4
	5.75	4	1.48
	6.4	3.95	1.43
	7.47	4.16	1.44
	7	3.5	1.47
	6.7	4.1	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.8 ↑ (5.05)	3.92 ↑ (3.4)	1.44 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco PR
13.4%

Draw
23.3%

Coritiba
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

26.6%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

21.5%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco PR has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coritiba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco PR than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coritiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The competitors look crappy now.

Rio Branco PR could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Coritiba is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Rio Branco PR won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco PR
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
12.05.21	FC Cascavel - Rio Branco PR	0:0 ✺
07.05.21	Rio Branco PR - Azuriz	0:0 ✺
03.05.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Rio Branco PR	2:0 ✺
29.04.21	Rio Branco PR - Cascavel	2:4 ✺
25.04.21	Athletico Paranaense - Rio Branco PR	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTLLL
- Coritiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
12.05.21	Coritiba - Cianorte	1:1 ✺
09.05.21	Londrina - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
06.05.21	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
03.05.21	Coritiba - FC Cascavel	2:3 ✺
24.04.21	Coritiba - Paraná Clube Curitiba	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
23.01.20	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	1:1
24.03.19	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	1:1
25.02.18	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	3:0
25.01.18	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	1:1
26.03.17	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	2:1
25.02.16	Coritiba - Rio Branco PR	3:3

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