Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARANAENSE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Toski M. R. (Bra)


	Coritiba		FC Cascavel

	1	X	2
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.35	4.2	7.25
	1.35	4.1	6.25
	1.35	4.6	7.83
	1.36	3.8	8.5
	1.37	4	7.9
	1.36	4.4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	4.16 ↑ (4.07)	7.52 ↑ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
66.4%

Draw
21.7%

FC Cascavel
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

21.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

FC Cascavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Coritiba - FC Cascavel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Coritiba have a series of guest games.

In this match Coritiba is certain favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
05.03.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.02.23	Humaitá - Coritiba	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
19.02.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
15.02.23	Coritiba - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTW
- FC Cascavel
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
05.03.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	FC Cascavel - Foz do Iguaçu	3:0 ✺
19.02.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
16.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Aruko Sports - FC Cascavel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
05.03.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	3:1
19.02.23	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	0:0
13.02.22	Coritiba - FC Cascavel	0:0
03.05.21	Coritiba - FC Cascavel	2:3
19.01.20	Coritiba - FC Cascavel	2:1
17.03.19	Coritiba - FC Cascavel	2:0
17.02.19	FC Cascavel - Coritiba	0:1 penalties

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