Match Info

BRAZIL: Capixaba - Round 9

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpio Perim (Venda Nova do Imigrante)


	Rio Branco-VN		Porto Vitória

	1	X	2
	2.07	3.1	3.4
	2.34	2.95	3.02
	2.25	3.01	3.2	Watch
	2.09	2.93	3.58
	2.07	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.75)	3.02 ↓ (3.17)	3.32 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco-VN
42.2%

Draw
30.3%

Porto Vitória
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28.9%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

27.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco-VN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Branco-VN's form might have worsened.

Porto Vitória has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto Vitória's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Branco-VN, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto Vitória, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rio Branco VN - Porto Vitória Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filipe (G) 8. Canario 18. Dandan 5. Denis Pedra 9. Gabriel G. d. S. 7. Guilherme 4. Jonathan 11. Marcudinho 2. Ramon Rocha 3. Ruan Lopes 6. Vitinho	1. Aydhan Martins (G) 39. Athirson 19. Didira (C) 16. Elton 3. Ferrugem 31. Gabriel Rossetto 25. Jose Carlos 4. Nascimento 13. Taleco 6. Wilian Simoes 23. Willyan Sotto
Substitutes
15. Berriel 13. Betao 22. Caique Gomes 23. Gabriel Pezao (G) 16. Jorge Mendes 12. Mateus Bravim (G) 14. Mistura G. 25. Patrick 19. Renatinho 17. Robertinho 21. Ruan Major 20. Wellington Sabao	33. Alisson Soares 24. Cardoso K. 14. Douglas Zielke 7. Hitalo 28. Joaozinho 38. Leonardo Rodrigues (G) 77. Lessinho 10. Marquinhos 21. Melo H. 9. Patrick 22. Thainler 11. Xavier L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Ruan Lopes 🟨,
45', Nascimento 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Patrick ⚽,
78', 🟨,
78', Ramon Rocha 🟥,
90+1', Xavier L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2).

Rio Branco-VN is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Rio Branco-VN is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porto Vitória is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Porto Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rio Branco-VN is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rio Branco-VN to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rio Branco-VN won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco-VN
Copa do Brasil
20.02.25	Rio Branco-VN - Amazonas	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
16.02.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco-VN	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Rio Branco-VN - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Jaguare - Rio Branco-VN	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Rio Branco-VN - Capixaba SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLWWW
- Porto Vitória
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
17.02.25	Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense	0:1 ✺
13.02.25	Porto Vitória - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	Nova Venécia - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Porto Vitória - Jaguare	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Capixaba SC - Porto Vitória	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
28.01.24	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco-VN	2:1

Rio Branco-VN - Porto Vitória: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide