Match Info

BRAZIL: Capixaba - Round 7

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Olímpio Perim (Venda Nova do Imigrante)


	Rio Branco-VN		Nova Venécia

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.65	5.8
	1.5	3.81	6.36
	1.54	3.75	5.79	Watch
	1.53	3.96	6.08
	1.54	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.77)	3.76 ↑ (3.37)	5.97 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco-VN
60.1%

Draw
24.4%

Nova Venécia
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.6%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco-VN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Branco-VN's performance.

Nova Venécia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nova Venécia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Branco-VN that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Venécia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Venécia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Branco VN - Nova Venécia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Gabriel Pezao (G) 6. Berriel 2. Betao 8. Canario (C) 9. Dandan 5. Jorge Mendes 11. Marcudinho 7. Renatinho 4. Roberto Junior 3. Ruan Lopes 21. Ruan Major	12. Flavio (G) 10. Alex Pixote 2. Caio Pacheco 18. Darlan 4. Lucas Tavares (C) 17. Matheusinho 9. Moroto 5. Parmanhani K. 3. Pedro Ibelli 16. Pepe 19. Sandrinho
Substitutes
10. Arthur Faria 20. Caique Gomes 16. Denis Pedra 17. Dudu Pedrotti 18. Gabriel G. 19. Guilherme 14. Jonathan 12. Mateus Bravim (G) 15. Mistura G. 13. Ramon Rocha 25. Robertinho 22. Vitinho	14. Braian 13. Erik Moreira (G) 20. Gabriel Simiao 7. Gerson 6. Joao Gabriel 22. Podbang Casimir 21. Thaylan 11. Waschington

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Jorge Mendes 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Canario ⚽,
37', Parmanhani K. 🟨,
40', Ruan Lopes 🟨,
41', 🟨,
44', Darlan 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sandrinho ↓, Waschington ↑,
57', Renatinho ↓, Robertinho ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Darlan (Own goal),
70', Canario ↓, Arthur Faria ↑,
70', Berriel ↓, Vitinho ↑,
84', Dandan ↓, Caique Gomes ↑,
87', Matheusinho ↓, Thaylan ↑,
88', Parmanhani K. ↓, Podbang Casimir ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Branco-VN is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Nova Venécia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nova Venécia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rio Branco-VN is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rio Branco-VN won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco-VN
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
08.02.25	Jaguare - Rio Branco-VN	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Rio Branco-VN - Capixaba SC	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	Rio Branco-VN - Vitória ES	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Rio Branco-VN - Vilavelhense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTTT
- Nova Venécia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
09.02.25	Nova Venécia - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Vilavelhense - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Nova Venécia - Jaguare	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Capixaba SC - Nova Venécia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
20.01.24	Nova Venécia - Rio Branco-VN	1:0

Rio Branco-VN - Nova Venécia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide