Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 15

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Rio Branco de Americana		Independente de Limeira

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.5	3.95	5.3
	1.48	4.05	5.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	3.97 ↓ (4.5)	5.43 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco de Americana
60.5%

Draw
22.8%

Independente de Limeira
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

19.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco de Americana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Independente de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Independente de Limeira aligns with the current prediction.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Rio Branco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independente is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rio Branco is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco de Americana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
23.03.24	Joseense - Rio Branco de Americana	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Rio Branco de Americana - XV de Jaú	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Rio Branco de Americana - Barretos	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Taquaritinga - Rio Branco de Americana	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	União Barbarense - Rio Branco de Americana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTWL
- Independente de Limeira
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
23.03.24	Independente de Limeira - Francana	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	União Barbarense - Independente de Limeira	4:0 ✺
16.03.24	Joseense - Independente de Limeira	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Independente de Limeira - Penapolense	0:3 ✺
06.03.24	Independente de Limeira - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLLW

Rio Branco de Americana - Independente de Limeira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide