The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Riteriai 16.5%
Draw 24%
Banga Gargždai 59.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.9%
26.1%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
25.5%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riteriai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riteriai's form might have worsened.
Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Banga Gargždai's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riteriai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banga Gargždai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
7.7%
84.6%
Riteriai - Banga Gargždai Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Banga Gargždai will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Moschin S. (G) 14. Baftalovskyi A. 4. Karamarko M. 6. Sveistrys A. 50. Latvys M. 27. Gelombickas D. 22. Estevez Fernandez L. 10. Civilka S. 88. Yakah A. 16. Usavicius J. 11. Novikovas A. (C)
14. Krynskyi V. (G) 19. Antuzis V. (C) 3. Malzinskas D. 6. Simao J. 51. Cadu 30. Cande U. 11. Filipavicius R. 21. Praleika S. 47. Fosuhene Asare K. 9. Appiah A. 45. Sato M.
Substitutes
21. Alekna T. 92. Andraikenas K. (G) 2. Bondar D. 35. Garapko P. 47. Gurksnys V. 17. Lipinskas D. 23. Rimpa D. 37. Sankin A. (G) 8. Vaitkunas E. 20. Waruingi J. M.
22. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 8. Camara R. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 27. Henning R. 20. Levsinas A. 10. Magdusauskas V. 99. Olugbogi A. 77. Venckus I. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G) 13. Zebrauskas N.
Coaches
Vaiciunas G.
Marques Afonso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Fosuhene Asare K. ⚽, Filipavicius R. (A),
13', Yakah A. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Praleika S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Latvys M. ↓, Bondar D. ↑,
54', Baftalovskyi A. ↓, Rimpa D. ↑,
65', Filipavicius R. ↓, Ambrazaitis M. ↑,
65', Sato M. ↓, Camara R. ↑,
75', Appiah A. ↓, Olugbogi A. ↑,
75', Fosuhene Asare K. ↓, Magdusauskas V. ↑,
75', Cande U. ↓, Venckus I. ↑,
82', Yakah A. ↓, Garapko P. ↑,
82', Civilka S. ↓, Vaitkunas E. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Magdusauskas V. ⚽,
90', 0 - 4, Ambrazaitis M. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ I Lyga and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riteriai won 0.
Riteriai has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Banga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Banga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Banga is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riteriai won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Riteriai won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).