Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 25

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday


	Riteriai 2		Žalgiris Vilnius 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4	5.75
				Watch
	1.47	3.75	5.21
	1.35	4.2	6.5
	1.38	4.45	6.55
	1.45	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)	4.1 ↓ (4.16)	6 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riteriai 2
63.2%

Draw
21.9%

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

21.6%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riteriai 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riteriai 2 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Riteriai 2 won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Riteriai 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Žalgiris 2 have a series of home games.

In this match Riteriai 2 is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Riteriai 2 won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Riteriai 2 won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Riteriai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
02.10.23	Panevėžys 2 - Riteriai 2	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Riteriai 2 - Garliava	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	FA Šiauliai B - Riteriai 2	2:2 ✺
06.09.23	Marijampolė City - Riteriai 2	0:4 ✺
31.08.23	Riteriai 2 - Minija Kretinga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTTWW
- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
16.09.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Neptūnas	1:4 ✺
31.08.23	Nevėžis - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	4:1 ✺
28.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
21.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Marijampolė City	6:0 ✺
12.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
22.05.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2	0:3
12.08.22	Riteriai 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:2
03.04.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2	1:1
03.08.21	Riteriai 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	4:2
05.04.21	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2	3:1
18.09.20	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2	2:0
24.07.20	Riteriai 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	4:3

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