Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 23

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Riteriai 2		Garliava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.31	3.79
	1.8	3.56	3.76
	1.84	3.5	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.14)	3.46 ↑ (3.24)	3.73 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riteriai 2
49.6%

Draw
26.2%

Garliava
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.7%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riteriai 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riteriai 2's performance.

Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garliava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riteriai 2 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Riteriai 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 10).

Recent matches Riteriai 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Garliava is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Riteriai 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Riteriai 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Riteriai 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Riteriai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
16.09.23	FA Šiauliai B - Riteriai 2	2:2 ✺
06.09.23	Marijampolė City - Riteriai 2	0:4 ✺
31.08.23	Riteriai 2 - Minija Kretinga	3:0 ✺
27.08.23	Riteriai 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Riteriai 2 - Transinvest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWWL
- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
16.09.23	Garliava - Transinvest	1:1 ✺
01.09.23	Jonava - Garliava	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
18.08.23	Nevėžis - Garliava	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
28.04.23	Garliava - Riteriai 2	2:1
16.09.22	Riteriai 2 - Garliava	0:0
21.05.22	Garliava - Riteriai 2	0:1

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