Match Info

I Lyga - Round 16

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Žalgirio stadionas (Vilnius)


	Žalgiris Vilnius 2		BE1 NFA Kaunas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.1
	1.85	3.7	3.3	Watch
	1.87	3.82	3.79
	1.94	3.85	3.20	Watch
	1.9	4	3.49
	2.09	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.01)	3.75 ↑ (3.37)	3.31 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Vilnius 2
47.7%

Draw
24.6%

BE1 NFA Kaunas
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

25.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

24.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

BE1 NFA Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Žalgiris 2 (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Žalgiris Vilnius 2 will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Žalgiris Vilnius 2 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris 2 (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Cekavicius D. (G) 3. Aleksa D. 89. Alfieri A. 60. Baksys T. (C) 27. Berenta V. 24. Burba M. 33. Klimavicius N. 16. Kontautas K. 83. Soja A. 88. Zavackas A. 40. Zederstreimas G.	77. Starkus E. (G) 26. Adah J. 55. Akpan U. W. 23. Gudaitis T. 20. Issah M. 28. Mamis T. 7. Rakauskas J. 8. Sluta D. (C) 4. Stankus P. 17. Turcinskas J. 18. Ziedelis J.
Substitutes
65. Bradunas V. 81. Demidov A. 98. Jakubovskis D. (G) 66. Kurec D. 38. Kursevicius R. 35. Mikelaitis G. 36. Uldukis O. 39. Velicka D.	11. Barkauskas G. 14. Jansonas D. 54. Kuodis K. 25. Ostapenko K. (G) 21. Shvedchenko R. 50. Stapulionis J. 27. Trumpa E. 2. Virbalas I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Berenta V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
65', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 1.

Žalgiris 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

BE1 NFA's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Žalgiris 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius 2
Lithuanian Division 2
27.06.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Transinvest	2:3 ✺
21.06.25	Jonava - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:1 ✺
17.06.25	Minija Kretinga - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:4 ✺
14.06.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - FA Šiauliai B	2:1 ✺
02.06.25	Panevėžys 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWW
- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
27.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	FA Šiauliai B - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Panevėžys 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
28.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1
10.04.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0
29.10.22	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:0
24.06.22	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3
22.09.18	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1
22.05.18	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	6:0

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