Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Varea		Levante

	1	X	2
	17	7.5	1.17	Watch
	14.5	7	1.2	Watch
	15	6	1.18	Watch
	15.69	6.18	1.14
	17	7	1.17
	17	6.85	1.17	Watch
	16	6.4	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.03 ↑ (9.88)	6.7 ↑ (4.8)	1.17 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varea
5.9%

Draw
14%

Levante
80.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

19.7%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

14.8%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Varea - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: Levante will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Encinas D. 2. Huerta A. 5. Manero A. 6. Esteban Navaridas G. 21. Gomez J. 14. Cabrera G. 17. Celik A. L. 8. Gomez A. 18. Rodriguez J. 20. Benito S. 9. Perez R.	1. Femenias J. (C) 29. Navarro M. 4. de la Fuente A. 31. Xavi Grande 16. Blesa Alex 20. Rey O. 19. Ibanez R. 7. Brugue R. 17. Clemente O. 18. Romero I. 37. Alvarez C.
Substitutes
1. Alido A. 7. Barcina Txomin 3. Garcia B. 10. Herreros J. 11. Landin I. 4. Londono S. 25. Nestares G. 16. Rico J. 23. Saenz J. 22. Sagues C. 15. Villafane Molina S.	23. Algobia A. 22. Bouldini M. 11. Cantero A. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Gomez D. 6. Kochorashvili G. 21. Lozano S. 10. Martinez P. 15. Postigo S. 41. Selles D. 14. Vezo R.

Preview

Varea is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Levante is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Levante is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Varea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
28.10.23	Varea - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Vianés - Varea	0:6 ✺
08.10.23	La Calzada - Varea	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Haro Deportivo - Varea	0:3 ✺
24.09.23	Varea - Alfaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.23	FC Andorra - Levante	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Tenerife - Levante	0:0 ✺
16.10.23	Levante - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
06.10.23	Albacete Balompié - Levante	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Levante - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWT

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