Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Russia	Okko Sport
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Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1
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South-korea	SPOTV Now
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Uruguay	Disney+
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World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	River Plate		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.55	5.15	Watch
	1.72	3.72	5.36
	1.67	3.77	5.43	Watch
	1.68	3.72	5.35	Watch
	1.7	3.55	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.08)	3.67 ↑ (3.26)	5.32 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
56.2%

Draw
25.9%

Estudiantes La Plata
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes La Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes La Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armani F. (C) 4. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 17. Diaz P. 21. Acuna M. 31. Simon S. 24. Perez E. 8. Meza M. 30. Mastantuono F. 18. Martinez P. 15. Driussi S.	12. Mansilla M. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Boselli S. 6. Nunez S. 15. Arzamendia S. 5. Ascacibar S. (C) 21. Piovi L. 10. Palacios T. 25. Medina C. 22. Castro A. 9. Carrillo G.
Substitutes
16. Bustos F. 20. Casco M. 26. Fernandez N. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 5. Kranevitter M. 10. Lanzini M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 9. Miguel Borja 6. Pezzella G. 7. Rojas M. 38. Subiabre I. 19. Tapia G.	27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 17. Burgos J. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 1. Iacovich F. (G) 19. Manyoma A. 29. Perez Fabricio 2. Rodriguez F. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Gallardo M.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
7', Piovi L. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Castro A. ⚽, Palacios T. (A),
28', Meza M. 🟨,
40', Acuna M. 🟨,
44', Nunez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Perez E. 🟥,
58', Martinez P. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
62', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
65', Medina C. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
68', Castro A. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
69', Gabriel Neves 🟨,
71', Mastantuono F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
71', Driussi S. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
71', Acuna M. ↓, Casco M. ↑,
80', Arzamendia S. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
80', Piovi L. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
83', Simon S. ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
90', Benedetti G. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 2, Ascacibar S. ⚽,
90+7', Subiabre I. 🟨,
90+7', Burgos J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 4.

Now both teams are in good shape.

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S. (Injury) Fernandez N. (Injury) Giuliano Galoppo (Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Injury) Rojas M. (Muscle Injury) Villagra R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Mendez M. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's River Plate to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 7 head-to-head matches River Plate won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:2 (average 3.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.25	San Martín de San Juan - River Plate	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	River Plate - Lanús	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Godoy Cruz - River Plate	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	River Plate - Independiente	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWT
- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Argentina
25.02.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.02.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba	3:2 ✺
15.02.25	Aldosivi - Estudiantes La Plata	2:2 ✺
11.02.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Banfield	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes La Plata	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.11.24	Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate	1:2
Argentinian Super Cup
13.03.24	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.07.23	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	3:1
05.10.22	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	5:0
31.10.21	Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.02.21	Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.08.12	Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate	0:2

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