Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		River Plate

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.3	1.85	Watch
	4.75	3.1	1.85
	4.75	3.15	1.85	Watch
	5.22	3.2	1.86
	5.11	3.18	1.85	Watch
	4.86	3.38	1.89	Watch
	4.75	3.15	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (3.52)	3.21 ↑ (3.08)	1.86 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
19.4%

Draw
29.5%

River Plate
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

30.5%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.8%	7.7%	79.5%

San Lorenzo - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (31 of 39 users predict this - 79.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.82% – 92.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 36. Herrera D. 37. Baez E. 24. Tripichio N. 5. Irala E. 7. Cerutti E. 11. Reali M. 21. Braida M. (C) 28. Cuello A.	1. Armani F. (G) 6. Pezzella G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 17. Diaz P. 4. Montiel G. 24. Perez E. (C) 34. Giuliano Galoppo 21. Acuna M. 10. Lanzini M. 15. Driussi S. 9. Miguel Borja
Substitutes
30. Arias N. 15. Cecchini E. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 16. Dominguez N. 41. Escalante V. 19. Insaurralde M. 50. Ladstatter A. 53. Pedroza R. 99. Peralta J. 26. Vega J. 9. Vombergar A. 51. Zelaya M. A.	29. Aliendro R. 16. Bustos F. 20. Casco M. 11. Colidio F. 26. Fernandez N. 2. Gattoni F. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 5. Kranevitter M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 7. Rojas M. 31. Simon S. 19. Tapia G.
Coaches
Russo M.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Reali M. 🟨,
10', Cerutti E. 🟨,
29', Driussi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cerutti E. ↓, Vombergar A. ↑,
61', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
63', Acuna M. 🟨,
63', Romana J. 🟨,
64', Martinez Quarta L. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
64', Lanzini M. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
64', Driussi S. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
68', Perez E. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
74', Cuello A. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
81', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Simon S. ↑,
84', Miguel Borja 🟨,
89', Tripichio N. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
89', Reali M. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
90+1', Ladstatter A. 🟨,
90+3', Montiel G. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 0.

San Lorenzo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches River Plate is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Broken Hand) Hernandez G. (Injury) Muniain I. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Martinez P. (Injury) Villagra R. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

San Lorenzo - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 26.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.01.25	Gimnasia La Plata - San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	San Lorenzo - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
19.01.25	San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle	1:0 penalties ✺
16.01.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
13.01.25	Nacional Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWWW
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.01.25	River Plate - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Platense - River Plate	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Racing - River Plate	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	River Plate - Rosario Central	4:0 ✺
04.12.24	River Plate - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.12.24	River Plate - San Lorenzo	1:1
08.07.23	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:0
18.09.22	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.03.22	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.10.21	River Plate - San Lorenzo	3:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.21	River Plate - San Lorenzo	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.08.12	River Plate - San Lorenzo	0:0

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