Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	San Martín de San Juan		River Plate

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.9	1.5	Watch
	7.5	3.85	1.49	Watch
	8.39	3.98	1.49
	8.16	3.93	1.49	Watch
	7.9	3.94	1.49	Watch
	7.5	3.85	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.83 ↑ (6.25)	3.91 ↓ (4)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
12.1%

Draw
24.3%

River Plate
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

22.7%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

22%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

San Martín de San Juan - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (G) 2. Caseres R. 3. Alvarez L. 4. Molina A. 20. Burgos E. 5. Pelaitay N. 21. Watson N. 15. Cavallaro J. 28. Iacobellis M. 27. Fernandez T. 32. Anselmo F.	1. Armani F. (G) 4. Montiel G. 17. Diaz P. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 20. Casco M. 31. Simon S. 24. Perez E. 8. Meza M. 18. Martinez P. 19. Tapia G. 11. Colidio F.
Substitutes
12. Bonansea F. (G) 30. Diarte L. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Gonzalez S. 22. Jaurena S. 26. Lopes H. 18. Moreyra G. 23. Olguin G. 24. Pernia E. 16. Portillo A. 6. Recalde L. 8. Tijanovich H.	21. Acuna M. 29. Aliendro R. 16. Bustos F. 15. Driussi S. 5. Kranevitter M. 10. Lanzini M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 39. Lencina S. 30. Mastantuono F. 9. Miguel Borja 6. Pezzella G.
Coaches
Antuna R.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Burgos E. ↓, Lopes H. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Colidio F. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
46', Tapia G. ↓, Driussi S. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Miguel Borja ⚽, Martinez P. (A),
66', Martinez P. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
66', Simon S. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
67', Watson N. ↓, Jaurena S. ↑,
67', Fernandez T. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Mastantuono F. ⚽, Montiel G. (A),
72', Cavallaro J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
75', Perez E. 🟨,
77', Molina A. ↓, Pernia E. ↑,
78', Perez E. ↓, Kranevitter M. ↑,
84', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,

Preview

San Martín is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

River Plate is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

There will not play in San Martín: Anselmo F. (Inactive) Casa M. (Inactive) Fernandez T. (Inactive)

There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S. (Injury) Lanzini M. (Shoulder Injury) Mastantuono F. (International duty) Rojas M. (Muscle Injury) Villagra R. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.02.25	Gimnasia La Plata - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
13.02.25	San Martín de San Juan - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
06.02.25	Sarmiento de Junín - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	San Martín de San Juan - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
28.01.25	Deportivo Riestra - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTTT
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.02.25	River Plate - Lanús	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Godoy Cruz - River Plate	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	River Plate - Independiente	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	River Plate - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWTW

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