Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 29

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio River Plate (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	River Plate Asunción		Guaireña

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.55	3.2
	1.97	3.44	3.26
	7.21	5.76	1.31	Watch
	1.88	3.58	3.48
	1.76	3.44	4.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (1.72)	3.95 ↑ (3.46)	3.08 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Asunción
37%

Draw
27.6%

Guaireña
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

25.5%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Asunción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate Asunción's form might have worsened.

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guaireña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Asunción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaireña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

River Plate Asunción - Guaireña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Riquelme W. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Riquelme W. ⚽,
17', 1 - 2, Britez E. (Own goal),
25', 2 - 2, Ortiz E. ⚽,
27', Silva J. 🟥,
31', 2 - 3, Riquelme W. ⚽,
42', Riquelme W. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 2 - 4, Balbuena J. ⚽,
90+3', Gonzalez M. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, River Plate is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Asunción
Copa Paraguay
25.09.25	River Plate Asunción - Resistencia	2:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.09.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - River Plate Asunción	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	River Plate Asunción - Independiente Asuncion	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Sol de América - River Plate Asunción	1:0 ✺
28.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Fernando de la Mora	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL
- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
23.09.25	Guaireña - Rubio Ñu	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Pastoreo - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Guaireña - Deportivo Santaní	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Tacuary - Guaireña	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Guaireña - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
22.06.25	Guaireña - River Plate Asunción	0:1
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.10.21	River Plate Asunción - Guaireña	1:1
25.07.21	Guaireña - River Plate Asunción	1:2
09.05.21	Guaireña - River Plate Asunción	0:0
05.03.21	River Plate Asunción - Guaireña	0:1

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