Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Deportivo Santaní		River Plate Asunción

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.38	2.98	2.82
	2.35	3.1	3.03
				Watch
	2.35	2.94	3
	2.14	3.22	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)	3.07 ↓ (3.45)	2.83 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Santaní
38.8%

Draw
29.4%

River Plate Asunción
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Santaní has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

River Plate Asunción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Deportivo Santaní - River Plate Asunción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Villalba E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
86', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 7).

Deportivo Santaní has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

River Plate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Santaní won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Santaní won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Santaní
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
07.07.25	Rubio Ñu - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Pastoreo - Deportivo Santaní	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
13.06.25	Deportivo Santaní - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
09.06.25	Resistencia - Deportivo Santaní	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT
- River Plate Asunción
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
07.07.25	River Plate Asunción - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	River Plate Asunción - Resistencia	3:3 ✺
22.06.25	Guaireña - River Plate Asunción	0:1 ✺
16.06.25	River Plate Asunción - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Independiente Asuncion - River Plate Asunción	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
06.04.25	River Plate Asunción - Deportivo Santaní	0:0
24.09.22	Deportivo Santaní - River Plate Asunción	3:0
20.06.22	River Plate Asunción - Deportivo Santaní	2:0

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