Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Keskuskentta (Rovaniemi)


	RoPS		Vaajakoski

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.6
	1.52	4.33	5
	1.53	4.25	4.75
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.51	4.2	5.14
	1.61	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	4.2 ↑ (3.78)	4.78 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoPS
59.3%

Draw
21.7%

Vaajakoski
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

23.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RoPS's performance.

Vaajakoski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoPS than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

RoPS - Vaajakoski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Korhonen T. (G) 4. Dementjeff T. 10. Niska R. 86. Olabisi S. 18. Petrishin J. 14. Polvi J. 20. Roiha S. (C) 22. Savolainen A. 26. Tiihonen A. 6. Tolra A. 7. Vatanen V.	1. Poltto J. (G) 9. Hakkinen R. 5. Halonen H. 14. Montonen B. 2. Pirttinen N. 11. Salim S. 28. Selin D. 20. Simsek B. 27. Suutarinen L. 12. Sydanmaa M. 19. Verkko M.
Substitutes
5. Ilola L. 23. Irvankoski E. 8. Lakela T. 25. Leppanen A. 12. Rantala M. (G) 11. Varhi T. 15. Wimmer W.	29. Honko R. 24. Liimatainen M. 23. Mehtonen P. 3. Sarkkinen J. 25. Tuokkola V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Savolainen A. ⚽,
33', Suutarinen L. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Savolainen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Suutarinen L. ↓, Liimatainen M. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Roiha S. ⚽,
60', 3 - 1, Simsek B. ⚽,
62', 3 - 2, Verkko M. ⚽,
63', Hakkinen R. 🟨,
64', Selin D. ↓, Honko R. ↑,
73', Montonen B. ↓, Mehtonen P. ↑,
76', Vatanen V. ↓, Lakela T. ↑,
78', 4 - 2, Lakela T. ⚽,
82', Dementjeff T. ↓, Irvankoski E. ↑,
84', Sarkkinen J. 🟨,
86', Roiha S. ↓, Varhi T. ↑,
90', Halonen H. 🟨,
90+2', Mehtonen P. 🟨,

Preview

RoPS is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vaajakoski is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match RoPS is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches RoPS won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams RoPS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RoPS
Finnish Ykkonen
12.05.24	Jazz Pori - RoPS	1:4 ✺
04.05.24	RoPS - Klubi 04	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Atlantis Helsinki - RoPS	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	RoPS - JJK Jyväskylä	2:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.04.24	JBK - RoPS	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLTLL
- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Ykkonen
12.05.24	Vaajakoski - OLS	1:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	Vaajakoski - KTP Kotka	0:5 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
28.04.24	Vaajakoski - Keski-Uusimaa	4:3 ✺
20.04.24	KPV Kokkola - Vaajakoski	3:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.04.24	MYPA - Vaajakoski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
05.08.23	RoPS - Vaajakoski	1:4
14.05.23	Vaajakoski - RoPS	1:2
24.09.22	RoPS - Vaajakoski	1:0
09.07.22	Vaajakoski - RoPS	1:1

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