The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roasso Kumamoto 56.4%
Draw 26%
Fujieda MYFC 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
26.9%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
26%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roasso Kumamoto's performance.
Fujieda MYFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fujieda MYFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roasso Kumamoto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fujieda MYFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
81.8%
9.1%
Roasso Kumamoto - Fujieda MYFC Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Fujieda MYFC will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 59% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Fujieda MYFC (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fujieda MYFC (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sato S. (G) 3. Onishi R. 4. Hakamata Y. 24. Ri T. 13. Iihoshi A. 8. Kamimura S. 6. Iwashita W. 17. Fujii K. 14. Shiohama R. 28. Kumashiro K. 10. Konagaya C.
41. Kitamura K. C. (G) 16. Mori Y. 5. Kusumoto T. 4. Nakagawa S. 33. Kawakami C. 6. Sese H. 17. Okazawa K. 19. Shimabuku K. 8. Asakura R. 14. Nakagawa K. 50. Kaneko S.
Substitutes
5. Abe K. 18. Handai M. 2. Kuroki K. 15. Mishima S. 9. Omoto Y. 20. Osaki S. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Takemoto Y. 21. Toyoda A.
22. Hisadomi R. 21. Jones R. (G) 23. Kajikawa R. 18. Matsushita Y. 24. Nagata K. 28. Omori K. 71. Sakakibara K. 30. Seriu K. 15. Sugita M.
Coaches
Oki T.
Sudo D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Fujii K. ⚽, Kamimura S. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Kumashiro K. ⚽,
43', Onishi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Konagaya C. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
46', Kusumoto T. ↓, Hisadomi R. ↑,
46', Sese H. ↓, Kajikawa R. ↑,
46', Kaneko S. ↓, Sakakibara K. ↑,
59', Nakagawa K. ↓, Matsushita Y. ↑,
68', Fujii K. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
69', Sakakibara K. 🟨,
70', Shimabuku K. ↓, Nagata K. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Asakura R. ⚽, Okazawa K. (A),
76', Kumashiro K. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
76', Iihoshi A. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
82', Shiohama R. ↓, Omoto Y. ↑,
85', Kawakami C. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 2.
Kumamoto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fujieda MYFC is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Kumamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kumamoto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kumamoto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Fujieda MYFC - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.97%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Sato S. (G) 
Ri T. 
Shimabuku K. 
