Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Roces		Lenense

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	3.85	3.22	1.9
	3.91	3.42	1.85	Watch
	3.85	3.44	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.55)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	1.88 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roces
23.6%

Draw
27.8%

Lenense
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roces's form might have worsened.

Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lenense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roces than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roces, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lenense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Roces - Lenense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lenense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Roces
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.01.25	Avilés Stadium - Roces	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Mosconia - Roces	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Roces - Praviano	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Urraca - Roces	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Lealtad - Roces	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TLLTL
- SD Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.01.25	Lenense - Lealtad	4:4 ✺
12.01.25	Lenense - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
22.12.24	Real Titánico - Lenense	4:3 ✺
15.12.24	Lenense - Tuilla	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	San Martín - Lenense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
15.09.24	Lenense - Roces	2:0
19.01.22	Lenense - Roces	1:0

Roces - Lenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide