The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rockdale Ilinden 59.2%
Draw 22.2%
Wollongong Wolves 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
23.4%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
19.4%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Wollongong Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rockdale Ilinden that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wollongong Wolves than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wollongong Wolves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rockdale Ilinden - Wollongong Wolves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 3.
Recent form of Rockdale Ilinden has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Wollongong Wolves is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Rockdale Ilinden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Rockdale Ilinden is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:22. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Rockdale Ilinden won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).