Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 22

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rodina Moscow 3		Spartak Tambov

	1	X	2
	3.63	3.93	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.24)	3.93 ↑ (3.8)	1.82 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 3
25.5%

Draw
23.6%

Spartak Tambov
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

24.1%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

24.4%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Spartak Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Tambov than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Rodina Moscow 3 - Spartak Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Mironov A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2).

Rodina 3 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spartak Tambov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rodina 3 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spartak Tambov could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rodina 3 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Rodina 3 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Spartak Tambov	26	20	3	3	47:14	33	63
8	Rodina Moscow 3	26	12	4	10	50:41	9	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
29.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Rodina Moscow 3	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Volna Kovernino	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ryazan - Rodina Moscow 3	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Rotor 2	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kvant Obninsk - Rodina Moscow 3	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLWW
- Spartak Tambov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
29.08.26	Spartak Tambov - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.26	Ryazan - Spartak Tambov	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.08.26	Zenit Penza - Spartak Tambov	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Spartak Tambov - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Spartak Tambov - SKA Rostov	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Rodina Moscow 3	1:0
23.08.25	Spartak Tambov - Rodina Moscow 3	1:0
03.05.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Spartak Tambov	1:1

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