Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday


	Rodina Moscow 3		Strogino Moskva

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.27	5.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.95)	3.27 ↑ (3.02)	5.23 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 3
54.1%

Draw
28.3%

Strogino Moskva
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

30.1%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 3 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodina Moscow 3's performance.

Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strogino Moskva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow 3 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Rodina Moscow 3 - Strogino Moskva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Kamyshenko A. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 2 - 0, Ivanov K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Rodina 3 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Strogino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Rodina 3 is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rodina 3 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rodina 3 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Rodina Moscow 3	26	12	4	10	50:41	9	40
11	FK Strogino Moscow	26	8	4	14	31:43	-12	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
30.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Rodina Moscow 3	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Avangard Kursk	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Volna Kovernino - Rodina Moscow 3	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL
- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
30.05.26	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Strogino Moskva - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Strogino Moskva	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.08.25	Strogino Moskva - Rodina Moscow 3	0:6
27.04.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Strogino Moskva	1:1

Rodina Moscow 3 - Strogino Moskva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide