Match Info

SLOVENIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: SD Rogaska Slatina (Rogaska Slatina)

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)


	Rogaška		Mura

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.65	3.3	2.5
	2.17	3.35	3.47
	2.24	3.39	3.29
	2.05	3.2	3.25
	2.15	3.28	3.24	Watch
	2.13	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.51)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	3.19 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rogaška
42.3%

Draw
28.4%

Mura
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.7%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rogaška has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rogaška's performance.

Mura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rogaška than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mura than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rogaška - Mura Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rogaška will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lorber Z. (G) 66. Kambic L. 15. Vujcic N. 2. Pirtovsek R. 44. Flis Z. (C) 88. Korosec A. 22. Kregar O. 35. Lovric D. 8. Thalisson Charles 77. Kurez G. 28. Mijic P.	13. Raduha F. (G) 32. Trontelj Z. 5. Sadriu L. 26. Proleta B. 16. Tripi F. 11. Kous Z. (C) 6. Antolin A. 88. Nuhanovic S. 30. Kurtovic A. 99. Caks R. 19. Lamy J.
Substitutes
13. Bazdaric V. (G) 42. Diaby T. 16. Kitek C. 33. Majcenic A. 6. Majcen J. 11. Marcius M. 3. Mihalic E. 84. Mulalic A. (G) 47. Prenkpalaj M. 34. Ruskovacki M. 29. Satchwell S. 27. Sim D.	8. Cottrell B. 22. Jovicevic N. 20. Kasalo N. 4. Katic D. 89. Kyziridis A. 17. Marosa A. 1. Mihelak K. (G) 7. Saitoski E. 10. Saric I. 21. Scernjavic T. 28. Sumenjak V. (G) 77. Turudija L.
Coaches
Drobne O.	Zlogar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Lorber Z. ↓, Mulalic A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Kurtovic A. 🟨,
63', Kregar O. ↓, Satchwell S. ↑,
63', Kurez G. ↓, Diaby T. ↑,
71', Antolin A. ↓, Cottrell B. ↑,
71', Caks R. ↓, Kyziridis A. ↑,
74', Satchwell S. 🟨,
77', Proleta B. 🟨,
78', Lamy J. ↓, Marosa A. ↑,
90+1', Trontelj Z. ↓, Kasalo N. ↑,
90+8', Korosec A. ↓, Prenkpalaj M. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Rogaška in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mura is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rogaška could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mura have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rogaška won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Rogaška won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Rogaška
Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.03.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rogaška	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Rogaška - Radomlje	1:0 ✺
Slovenian Cup
07.03.24	Nafta - Rogaška	1:2 ET ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
03.03.24	Koper - Rogaška	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Rogaška - Maribor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 WWWWT
- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.03.24	Mura - NK Bravo	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Mura - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
01.03.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Mura	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Mura - Radomlje	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Mura - Maribor	Mura awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLT?

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
07.12.23	Mura - Rogaška	3:1
23.09.23	Rogaška - Mura	0:2
Slovenian Cup
16.08.18	Rogaška - Mura	1:3
Slovenian 2 SNL
17.03.18	Rogaška - Mura	0:3
27.08.17	Mura - Rogaška	2:0

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