The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aluminij Kidricevo 27.9%
Draw 27.2%
Rogaška 44.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
28.6%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
30.5%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aluminij Kidricevo's form might have worsened.
Rogaška has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rogaška's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aluminij Kidricevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rogaška than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rogaška, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
36.4%
45.5%
Aluminij Kidricevo - Rogaška Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Aluminij will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Rogaška will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rogaška: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Jovanovic L. (G) 17. Kosi F. 4. Martic T. (C) 5. Subaric M. 21. Jovan G. 10. Brkljaca M. 6. Pisek J. 45. Susso B. 23. Jovanovic S. 25. Kljun T. 24. Matic T.
84. Mulalic A. (G) 66. Kambic L. 15. Vujcic N. 2. Pirtovsek R. 44. Flis Z. (C) 35. Lovric D. 77. Kurez G. 6. Majcen J. 88. Korosec A. 22. Kregar O. 28. Mijic P.
Substitutes
77. Baskera Z. 99. Bilyi A. 19. Gorenak G. 14. Jagic T. 37. Koblar L. 9. Krapukhin S. 11. Maruzin L. 13. Petek J. (G) 33. Sarac D. 7. Tanyi B. 27. Zupic K. (G)
42. Diaby T. 16. Kitek C. 33. Majcenic A. 11. Marcius M. 3. Mihalic E. 34. Ruskovacki M. 29. Satchwell S. 27. Sim D. 25. Vodisek R. (G)
Coaches
Pevnik R.
Drobne O.
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Prva liga (Relegation)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 2.
Recent matches Aluminij is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rogaška is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Rogaška could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Rogaška will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Aluminij won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.