Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 21

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Rosario Central		Colón

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.75
	1.98	3.4	3.9
	2	3.36	4.24
	2	3.25	3.8
	1.97	3.45	3.84	Watch
	2	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.31)	3.36 ↑ (3.13)	3.89 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
47.6%

Draw
28.1%

Colón
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosario Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	9.5%	9.5%

Rosario Central - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 17 - 81%). Colón will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 64.2% – 97.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broun J. (G) 4. Martinez D. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 2. Quintana C. 16. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 30. O'Connor T. 45. Ortiz K. 22. Giaccone L. 10. Malcorra I. 13. Jaminton Campaz 9. Veliz A.	17. Chicco I. (G) 21. Meza E. 33. Garces F. 6. Goltz P. 36. Nardelli G. 40. Delgado R. 14. Perlaza B. 29. Picco L. 22. Alvarez J. 10. Farias F. 9. Abila R.
Substitutes
31. Aguero F. 24. Bianchi O. 20. Candia J. 26. Cortez I. 11. Ferreyra L. 19. Infantino G. 6. Komar J. 17. Marinelli A. 29. Martinez L. 21. Quintero V. (G) 27. Rodriguez L. 8. Toledo A.	26. Arrua C. 92. Benitez J. 27. Chicco J. 19. Galvan T. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 7. Neris P. 4. Schott A. 8. Silva G. 28. Teuten A. 5. Vega C.
Coaches
Russo M.	Gorosito N.

Preview

Rosario has the most likely position - 6 (14.02%), project points - 43, currently - 34, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Colón has the most likely position - 18 (7.93%), project points - 32, currently - 23, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 38, very small importance 0, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rosario won 1.

Rosario is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Colón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rosario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rosario will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Rosario: Martinez D. (Injury) Montoya W. (Injury)

There will not play in Colón: Acevedo L. (Injury) Goltz P. (Injury) Ibanez J. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Rosario won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Rosario won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.06.23	Barracas Central - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba	4:1 ✺
29.05.23	Banfield - Rosario Central	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
24.05.23	Rosario Central - Central Norte	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.23	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWW
- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.06.23	Colón - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	San Lorenzo - Colón	0:0 ✺
29.05.23	Colón - Central Córdoba	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Colón - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Instituto Córdoba - Colón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.10.22	Rosario Central - Colón	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.04.22	Rosario Central - Colón	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.11.21	Colón - Rosario Central	1:4
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.03.21	Colón - Rosario Central	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
16.03.20	Rosario Central - Colón	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.09.19	Colón - Rosario Central	1:1
04.11.18	Rosario Central - Colón	1:1

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