Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 17

Date: 19 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Rosario Central		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.3	3.2	3.3
	2.3	3.18	3.51
	2.3	3	3.3
	2.25	3.35	3.18	Watch
	2.36	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)	3.19 ↑ (2.88)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
41.4%

Draw
29.7%

Defensa y Justicia
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

31.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

33.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	38.9%	16.7%

Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Rosario has the most likely position - 6 (9.79%), project points - 42, currently - 27, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Defensa y Justicia has the most likely position - 4 (14.76%), project points - 45, currently - 29, a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 41, very small importance 6, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rosario won 1.

Recent matches Rosario is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensa y Justicia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rosario will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Rosario: Martinez D. (Red Card)

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Tripichio N. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Rosario won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Rosario won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.05.23	Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
07.05.23	Rosario Central - Platense	4:0 ✺
30.04.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Rosario Central	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Rosario Central - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
17.04.23	Atlético Tucumán - Rosario Central	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLTT
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
08.05.23	San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Peñarol de Montevideo	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.04.23	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Barracas Central - Defensa y Justicia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.10.22	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	0:0
05.11.21	Defensa y Justicia - Rosario Central	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.01.21	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.02.20	Defensa y Justicia - Rosario Central	3:0
17.09.18	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	0:1
28.04.18	Defensa y Justicia - Rosario Central	3:1
27.08.16	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	0:0

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