Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Rosario Central		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3	4.5
	2.12	2.98	3.95	Watch
	2.17	3.02	4.24
	2.13	2.98	4.08	Watch
	2.09	3.04	4.01	Watch
	2.12	2.98	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.75)	3 ↓ (3.52)	4.08 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
45.2%

Draw
31.6%

Instituto Córdoba
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.7%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

26.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosario Central's form might have worsened.

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: Rosario Central will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Werner A. (G) 16. Gimenez E. 2. Quintana C. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 3. Sandez A. 31. Navarro F. 5. Ibarra F. 22. Giaccone L. 21. Lopez S. 99. Campaz J. 11. Ferreira S.	28. Roffo M. (G) 2. Franco J. 5. Zalazar N. 6. Alarcon F. R. 21. Pereyra E. 14. Mac Allister F. 16. Lazaro J. 19. Lodico G. A. 7. Godoy M. 77. Klimowicz L. 27. Luna A.
Substitutes
1. Broun J. (G) 26. Cantizano G. 9. Copetti E. 32. Coronel E. 27. Duarte G. 33. Elordi J. M. 8. Gomez J. 6. Komar J. 30. O'Connor T. 45. Ortiz K. 17. Segovia S. 23. Solari A.	23. Beltran E. 32. Dellarossa J. 30. Diaz F. 15. Gallardo M. 17. Lo Celso F. 34. Moreyra S. 26. Mosevich L. 38. Papaleo J. (G) 22. Puebla D. 31. Requena G. 18. Rodriguez L. 10. Romero S.
Coaches
Holan A.	Troglio P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Lopez S. ⚽, Giaccone L. (A),
17', Zalazar N. 🟨,
24', Lopez S. 🟨,
37', Alarcon F. R. 🟨,
45+1', Lazaro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Ibarra F. 🟨,
58', Giaccone L. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
58', Ferreira S. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
60', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
61', Lazaro J. ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
67', Lopez S. ↓, Coronel E. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Duarte G. ⚽,
73', Godoy M. ↓, Moreyra S. ↑,
73', Mac Allister F. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
84', Campaz J. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
84', Ibarra F. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Copetti E. ⚽, Coronel E. (A),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Rosario is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rosario won 2.

Rosario is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Instituto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Rosario is a favorite.

There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Inactive) Malcorra I. (Yellow Cards) Modica A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Instituto: Acevedo J. (Hamstring Injury) Cordero N. (Ankle Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Rosario won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Rosario won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.04.25	Platense - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
09.04.25	Rosario Central - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWTW
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	3:0 ✺
07.04.25	Atlético Tucumán - Instituto Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
03.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	Instituto Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Lanús - Instituto Córdoba	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.10.24	Instituto Córdoba - Rosario Central	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.03.24	Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba	1:0
24.10.23	Instituto Córdoba - Rosario Central	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.06.23	Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba	4:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.06.13	Instituto Córdoba - Rosario Central	1:0
10.12.12	Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba	1:0

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