Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN Premium
Austria	Laola1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Rosario Central		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.90	6.25
	1.57	3.80	5.75
	1.66	3.55	5.50	Watch
	1.65	3.84	6.02
	1.65	3.66	5.72
	1.57	3.80	5.90
	1.57	3.94	6.65	Watch
	1.57	3.85	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.86)	3.79 ↑ (3.2)	5.97 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
59.2%

Draw
24.9%

Gimnasia La Plata
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

29.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosario Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ledesma C. (G) 32. Coronel E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 5. Ibarra F. 20. Pizarro V. 26. Cantizano G. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 8. Campaz J. 9. Ruben M.	23. Insfran N. (G) 31. Barros Schelotto B. 13. German Conti 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 5. Miramon I. 18. Seoane M. 17. Janson L. 8. Fernandez N. (C) 9. Zalazar M. 29. Auzmendi A.
Substitutes
16. Badaloni T. 10. Cervi F. 22. Copetti E. 28. Fernandez P. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 31. Navarro F. 39. Oviedo F. 88. Rodriguez A. 33. Soto A. 42. Veron E. 1. Werner A. (G) 2. Zaracho S.	33. Aguiar P. 19. Colazo A. 4. Giampaoli R. 27. Kadijevic J. (G) 36. Lamella L. 16. Max A. 22. Melluso M. 7. Panaro M. 20. Perez J. 10. Schelotto N. 26. Torres F. 42. Villarreal S.
Coaches
Almiron J.	Pereyra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Pereyra A. 🟨,
32', Fernandez N. 🟨,
45+2', Ovando I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ovando I. ↓, Mallo Blanco F. ↑,
46', Sandez A. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
53', Zalazar M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Ledesma C. (Own goal),
67', Pizarro V. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
67', Cantizano G. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
70', Auzmendi A. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
71', Janson L. ↓, Giampaoli R. ↑,
76', Miramon I. 🟨,
78', Navarro F. 🟨,
83', Ruben M. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Campaz J. ⚽, Badaloni T. (A),
88', 1 - 2, Miramon I. ⚽,
89', Fernandez N. ↓, Max A. ↑,
90', Seoane M. ↓, Panaro M. ↑,
90+2', Barros Schelotto B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Rosario is the team to beat.

There will not play in Rosario: Cabrera M. (Inactive) Duarte G. (Knee Injury) Oviedo F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Inactive) Errecalde G. (Muscle Injury) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Torres M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Rosario Central - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Gimnasia La Plata - the odds 4.5 are the expected chance of winning is 20.72%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.08.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Rosario Central	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.26	Corinthians - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.26	Barracas Central - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.26	Rosario Central - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.08.26	Rosario Central - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTW
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
18.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	4:0 ✺
09.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Aldosivi - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	1:2
27.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	0:3
15.03.25	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1
05.08.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.02.24	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1
23.09.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.03.23	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	3:1

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