Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN 2, ESPN Premium, FOX Sports
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	River Plate		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.00	4.75	Watch
	1.93	3.10	4.33
	1.95	3.15	4.35	Watch
	2.00	3.13	4.90
	2.02	3.18	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.05	4.85
	1.96	3.20	4.38	Watch
	1.89	3.05	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.19)	3.11 ↑ (3.04)	4.55 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
48.6%

Draw
30.5%

Rosario Central
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

River Plate - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - River Plate (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Beltran S. (G) 29. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 13. Rivero L. 15. Fausto Vera 6. Moreno A. 35. Freitas J. 25. Pereyra L. 11. Colidio F. 19. Borre R.	23. Ledesma C. (G) 32. Coronel E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 5. Ibarra F. 20. Pizarro V. 26. Cantizano G. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 8. Campaz J. 22. Copetti E.
Substitutes
18. Beltran L. 33. Centurion E. (G) 26. Galvan T. 31. Gonzalez F. 20. Gonzalez G. 43. Lucero V. 24. Meza J. 44. Silva L.	16. Badaloni T. 7. Cabrera M. 28. Fernandez P. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 31. Navarro F. 39. Oviedo F. 47. Raffin L. 19. Segovia S. 33. Soto A. 42. Veron E. 1. Werner A. (G) 2. Zaracho S.
Coaches
Coudet E.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Freitas J. 🟨,
10', Rivero L. 🟨,
17', Fausto Vera 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Otamendi N. (Own goal),
34', Coronel E. 🟨,
41', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pereyra L. ↓, Galvan T. ↑,
63', Fausto Vera ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
65', Di Maria A. 🟨,
67', Freitas J. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
70', Pizarro V. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
80', Ibarra F. 🟨,
82', Campaz J. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
83', Copetti E. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
83', Coronel E. 🟨,
84', Rivero L. ↓, Lucero V. ↑,
85', Di Maria A. ↓, Mallo Blanco F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2.

River Plate could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in River Plate: Driussi S. (Muscle Injury) Moreno A. (Knee Injury) Portillo J. (Knee Injury) Ramirez T. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury) Salas M. (Inactive) Subiabre I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rosario: Duarte G. (Knee Injury) Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Ruben M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Rosario Central - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.39%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.07.26	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	River Plate - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.07.26	River Plate - Aldosivi	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Flamengo - River Plate	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	River Plate - Blooming	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTW
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.26	Rosario Central - Racing	0:0 ✺
23.07.26	Belgrano - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
31.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Rosario Central	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Independiente del Valle - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
19.05.26	Rosario Central - Universidad Central	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.05.26	River Plate - Rosario Central	1:0
01.02.26	Rosario Central - River Plate	0:0
05.10.25	Rosario Central - River Plate	2:1
29.03.25	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:2
08.12.24	River Plate - Rosario Central	4:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.04.24	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:1
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
22.12.23	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:0

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