Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Rosario Central		UAI Urquiza

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.3	2.05
	3.2	3.25	2.1
	3.09	3.13	2.1
	3.07	3.33	2.2
	2.95	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (4.17)	3.28 ↓ (3.83)	2.11 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
29.6%

Draw
27.5%

UAI Urquiza
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.1%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

23.6%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.

UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UAI Urquiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosario Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UAI Urquiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, Salguero P. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 16).

Rosario Central has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches UAI Urquiza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UAI Urquiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match UAI Urquiza is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rosario Central won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Rosario Central won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
20.04.24	Rosario Central - Independiente	1:1 ✺
15.04.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Rosario Central - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	Rosario Central - Belgrano	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- UAI Urquiza Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
29.04.24	UAI Urquiza - Belgrano	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	San Lorenzo de Almagro - UAI Urquiza	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	UAI Urquiza - Banfield	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - UAI Urquiza	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	UAI Urquiza - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
07.06.23	UAI Urquiza - Rosario Central	0:1
14.03.22	UAI Urquiza - Rosario Central	2:0
06.09.21	Rosario Central - UAI Urquiza	0:3
25.04.21	UAI Urquiza - Rosario Central	3:2

Rosario Central - UAI Urquiza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide