Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:00	LPF Play


	Rosario Central 2		Unión Santa Fe 2

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	1.98	3.15	3.25
	2.11	3.20	3.58
	2.08	3.21	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.10	3.50
	2.09	3.34	3.44
	2.07	3.20	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.9)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central 2
44.3%

Draw
28.5%

Unión Santa Fe 2
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.9%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

28.6%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Unión Santa Fe 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Rosario Central 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th and 11th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Rosario Central 2 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Rosario Central 2 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rosario Central 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Rosario Central 2 - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 46.67%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Unión Santa Fe 2 - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 26.47%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
24.09.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Rosario Central 2	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Rosario Central 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	0:3 ✺
03.09.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Rosario Central 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT
- Unión Santa Fe 2
Argentinian Reserve League
25.09.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Tigre 2	5:1 ✺
09.09.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:1 ✺
01.09.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:0 ✺
25.08.26	River Plate 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
29.04.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1
12.06.25	Rosario Central 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	2:0
11.03.23	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Rosario Central 2	4:2
03.10.22	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0

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