Match Info

DENMARK: 2nd Division - Promotion Group - Round 30

Date: 31 May 2024, Friday

Location: Roskilde Idrætspark (Roskilde)


	Roskilde		Nykøbing

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	7
	1.31	5.6	7.6
	1.29	5.66	7.46
	1.29	5.66	7.46
	1.22	5.5	7.5
	1.3	5.8	8.1
	1.31	4.9	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)	5.48 ↑ (5)	7.53 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
71.1%

Draw
16.7%

Nykøbing
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.3%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

17.4%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Roskilde - Nykøbing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Arabaci R. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Jensen Juul O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, ⚽,
67', 3 - 1, Skott M. ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, Skolnik O. ⚽,
86', 5 - 1, Nielsen E. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 4.

Recent matches Roskilde is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nykøbing is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Roskilde is indisputable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 37-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Roskilde won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 2 Division
24.05.24	AB Copenhagen - Roskilde	3:3 ✺
18.05.24	Roskilde - Middelfart	0:0 ✺
12.05.24	Esbjerg - Roskilde	3:2 ✺
03.05.24	Roskilde - Aarhus Fremad	6:2 ✺
27.04.24	Middelfart - Roskilde	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLWL
- Nykøbing FC
Danish 2 Division
24.05.24	Nykøbing - Aarhus Fremad	1:4 ✺
17.05.24	AB Copenhagen - Nykøbing	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Middelfart - Nykøbing	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Nykøbing - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	Nykøbing - AB Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
12.04.24	Nykøbing - Roskilde	0:5
23.03.24	Roskilde - Nykøbing	3:0
18.08.23	Nykøbing - Roskilde	1:2
Danish 2 Division - Group 2
09.04.21	Roskilde - Nykøbing	3:1
14.11.20	Nykøbing - Roskilde	2:0
Danish 1 Division
25.06.20	Roskilde - Nykøbing	2:2
31.05.20	Nykøbing - Roskilde	2:2

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