Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Roskilde Idrætspark (Roskilde)

Referee: Gammelholm P. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Roskilde		OB Odense

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.36
	7.25	5	1.33
	7.95	4.95	1.36	Watch
	8.02	5.19	1.36
	7.21	4.96	1.38	Watch
	6.5	4.8	1.33
	7.55	5.05	1.36	Watch
	7.95	4.95	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.43 ↑ (7)	4.99 ↓ (5)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
12.5%

Draw
18.7%

OB Odense
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

18.6%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

18.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

OB Odense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OB Odense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Roskilde - OB Odense Predictions

Users Predictions: OB Odense will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brylov M. (G) 2. Juhl M. 12. Vesterbaek N. 4. Skolnik O. 3. Jensen Juul O. 6. Halse N. 18. Maarup A. 14. Nyegaard K. 23. Fraulo G. 7. Nielsen E. 15. Taranis A.	16. Myhra V. (G) 20. Owusu L. 4. Paulsen B. 29. Gomez J. 2. Mickelson N. 6. Bonde J. 8. Manneh A. 18. Ejdum M. 10. Deedson L. 30. Fenger M. 7. Trybull T.
Substitutes
10. Arabaci R. 11. Baskaya S. 22. Damkjaer J. 25. Engqvist F. 27. Faester A. 16. Jensen A. (G) 8. Kristensen M. 24. Svensson V. 17. Winkel M.	24. Bojang Y. 14. Grubbe G. 26. Hansborg E. 1. Hansen M. (G) 5. Ivancevic M. 21. Juul-Sandberg N. 17. Kjerrumgaard L. 23. Martin W. 19. Selven J.
Coaches
Majgaard J.	Krogh S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Ejdum M. ⚽, Owusu L. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Deedson L. ⚽,
44', Paulsen B. ↓, Ivancevic M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
59', Nielsen E. ↓, Faester A. ↑,
62', Vesterbaek N. 🟨,
66', 0 - 3, Ejdum M. ⚽, Deedson L. (A),
66', Fenger M. ↓, Kjerrumgaard L. ↑,
67', Halse N. ↓, Arabaci R. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Arabaci R. ⚽, Taranis A. (A),
81', Ejdum M. ↓, Juul-Sandberg N. ↑,
81', Manneh A. ↓, Grubbe G. ↑,
81', Deedson L. ↓, Martin W. ↑,
84', Nyegaard K. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
84', Maarup A. ↓, Baskaya S. ↑,
85', 1 - 4, Skolnik O. (Own goal),
89', 1 - 5, Juul-Sandberg N. ⚽, Owusu L. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Roskilde is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Odense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Odense is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:13 (average 1:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Roskilde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
04.10.24	Hobro - Roskilde	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Roskilde - HB Køge	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.09.24	Roskilde - Silkeborg IF	1:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
22.09.24	OB Odense - Roskilde	3:2 ✺
13.09.24	Roskilde - Hvidovre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLLW
- OB Odense
Danish 1 Division
04.10.24	OB Odense - HB Køge	0:3 ✺
27.09.24	Kolding IF - OB Odense	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	OB Odense - Roskilde	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Horsens - OB Odense	2:2 ✺
30.08.24	OB Odense - Vendsyssel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
22.09.24	OB Odense - Roskilde	3:2
Danish Landspokal Cup
01.09.21	Roskilde - OB Odense	1:2
Club Friendly
06.07.19	OB Odense - Roskilde	2:0
06.07.18	OB Odense - Roskilde	4:2
20.01.17	Roskilde - OB Odense	0:2

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