Match Info

2nd Division - Promotion Group - Round 25

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Roskilde		Thisted

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.35	3.9
	1.78	3.63	4.13
	1.79	3.74	4.11	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4
	1.78	3.56	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.88)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	4.09 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
51.5%

Draw
26.1%

Thisted
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.8%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

26.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Thisted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Roskilde aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thisted than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Roskilde - Thisted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roskilde won 1.

Roskilde is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Thisted is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Thisted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Thisted has had a series of home games.

In this match, Roskilde is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Roskilde won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Roskilde won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.7:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Roskilde	10	4	6	0	18:10	8	18
12	Thisted FC	10	1	1	8	8:21	-13	4

Last Results with these Odds

Thisted - the odds 3.73 are the expected chance of winning is 24.87%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 2 Division
17.04.26	Næstved BK - Roskilde	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Roskilde - Vendsyssel	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Vendsyssel - Roskilde	3:0 ✺
02.04.26	Roskilde - Næstved BK	2:3 ✺
27.03.26	AB Copenhagen - Roskilde	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL
- Thisted FC
Danish 2 Division
19.04.26	Thisted - Hellerup	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Thisted - Næstved BK	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Thisted - Brabrand	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Fremad Amager - Thisted	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Thisted - Skive IK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
01.11.25	Roskilde - Thisted	1:2
21.09.25	Thisted - Roskilde	0:0
18.11.23	Thisted - Roskilde	1:3
14.10.23	Roskilde - Thisted	2:3
06.04.23	Roskilde - Thisted	0:1
27.08.22	Thisted - Roskilde	1:1
Danish 1 Division
24.03.19	Roskilde - Thisted	2:1

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