Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov)

Referee: Moskalev V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Rostov		Dynamo Makhachkala

	1	X	2
	2.23	3.02	3.96
	2.03	3.25	4.36	Watch
	1.89	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.89)	3.21 ↓ (3.35)	3.99 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
46.4%

Draw
29.7%

Dynamo Makhachkala
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

28.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Odoevski D. (G) 19. Bayramyan K. (C) 78. Chistyakov D. 34. El Askalany E. 69. Golenkov E. 87. Langovich A. 5. Prokhin D. 3. Sako O. 58. Shantaliy D. 10. Shchetinin K. 40. Vakhania I.	27. Volk D. (G) 43. Akhmedov I. 99. Alibekov M. (C) 10. Hosseinnejad M. 13. Kagermazov S. 7. Mastouri H. 6. Moubarik M. 16. Mrezigue H. 28. Serderov S. 77. Sundukov T. 5. Tabidze J.
Substitutes
17. Ajasa I. M. 67. Ignatov G. 62. Komarov I. 18. Kuchaev K. 4. Melekhin V. 8. Mironov A. 9. Mohebi M. 7. Ronaldo 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 99. Suleymanov T. 1. Yatimov R. (G)	25. Agalarov G. 22. Azzi M. 71. Dapo J. 47. Glushkov N. 39. Magomedov T. (G) 55. Mechid D. E. 11. Miro 75. Shikhaliev A. 4. Shumakhov I. 78. Voronin N. 19. Zinovich K.
Coaches
Alba J.	Evseev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Alibekov M. ↓, Shumakhov I. ↑,
31', Langovich A. 🟥,
40', 0 - 1, Mrezigue H. ⚽, Sundukov T. (A),
45+3', 0 - 2, Moubarik M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Odoevski D. ↓, Yatimov R. ↑,
46', Sako O. ↓, Melekhin V. ↑,
46', Sundukov T. ↓, Glushkov N. ↑,
46', Moubarik M. ↓, Azzi M. ↑,
46', Golenkov E. ↓, Suleymanov T. ↑,
53', Bayramyan K. 🟨,
54', Serderov S. 🟨,
58', Mrezigue H. ↓, Dapo J. ↑,
58', Serderov S. ↓, Miro ↑,
60', El Askalany E. ↓, Semenchuk D. ↑,
65', Vakhania I. ↓, Ignatov G. ↑,
72', Tabidze J. 🟨,
84', Melekhin V. 🟨,
90+1', Chistyakov D. 🟨,

Preview

Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.

Rostov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dynamo Makhachkala is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rostov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rostov is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

FK Rostov: 1.39% Dynamo Makhachkala: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
28.02.26	Krasnodar - Rostov	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	5:2 ✺
18.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Rostov - Qingdao West Coast	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Rostov - Noah Yerevan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWW
- Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian Premier League
28.02.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rubin Kazan	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Atyrau	3:0 ✺
02.02.26	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:4 ✺
26.01.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Vardar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
25.10.25	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1
Russian Cup
02.10.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov	2:1 penalties
27.08.25	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:3
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:1
Russian Premier League
24.05.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov	1:1
22.09.24	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:0
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:1

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